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Red33
492615.7
164619.1
94535.2
Blue42
314715.4
71988.3
155513.7
75%Model gave it25%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions473301020406070803342

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1646
#11
19.10.5
19.318.7
Auto6.3
Teleop10.2
End2.5
red by 3.7
3147
#15
15.40.7
13.914.6
Auto5.9
Teleop8.1
End1.4
Second
4926
#27
15.70.9
13.812.9
Auto8.4
Teleop6.5
End0.8
red by 2.0
1555
#12
13.70.7
12.413.0
Auto5.4
Teleop8.2
End0.1
Third
9453
#34
5.20.9
8.27.3
Auto1.7
Teleop3.2
End0.3
blue by 3.1
7198
#23
8.30.7
5.56.2
Auto4.2
Teleop2.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed