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Red41
85649.8
498216.1
649815.6
Blue61
102424.3
348718.7
765714.9
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions306302040801004161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4982
#26
16.11.0
11.112.1
Auto8.9
Teleop4.7
End2.5
blue by 8.2
24.30.6
21.522.1
Auto9.4
Teleop12.6
End2.3
Second
6498
#24
15.61.0
12.913.9
Auto6.0
Teleop8.5
End1.2
blue by 3.0
18.70.9
16.217.1
Auto5.6
Teleop11.8
End1.3
Third
8564
#21
9.81.0
7.08.0
Auto3.8
Teleop6.0
End0.1
blue by 5.1
7657
#13
14.90.9
15.015.8
Auto8.8
Teleop5.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed64%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed