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Red52
518813.9
314715.4
492615.7
Blue11
811610.2
21717.1
87428.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45310204060805211

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4926
#27
15.71.4
11.913.3
Auto8.4
Teleop6.5
End0.8
red by 5.5
8116
#28
10.21.9
11.910.0
Auto3.3
Teleop5.8
End1.1
Second
3147
#15
15.40.9
15.616.5
Auto5.9
Teleop8.1
End1.4
red by 6.8
8742
#31
8.61.9
9.17.2
Auto4.5
Teleop2.2
End1.9
Third
5188
#22
13.91.4
11.412.7
Auto6.0
Teleop6.9
End1.0
red by 6.8
2171
#30
7.11.2
8.67.4
Auto1.7
Teleop4.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed