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Red38
843013.3
518813.9
7112.3
Blue29
348718.7
94535.2
811610.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions344302060803829

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5188
#22
13.90.6
12.513.1
Auto6.0
Teleop6.9
End1.0
blue by 4.7
18.71.2
17.816.5
Auto5.6
Teleop11.8
End1.3
Second
8430
#20
13.30.6
7.68.2
Auto5.1
Teleop7.8
End0.4
red by 3.1
8116
#28
10.21.2
11.19.9
Auto3.3
Teleop5.8
End1.1
Third
71
#19
12.30.4
11.511.9
Auto4.5
Teleop7.7
End0.0
red by 7.0
9453
#34
5.21.2
9.07.7
Auto1.7
Teleop3.2
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed36%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed