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Red74
85649.8
164619.1
349419.9
Blue36
649815.6
94918.8
761710.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions523602060801001207436

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.90.1
17.917.8
Auto5.3
Teleop11.6
End3.0
red by 4.3
6498
#24
15.60.1
14.214.3
Auto6.0
Teleop8.5
End1.2
Second
1646
#11
19.10.1
18.017.9
Auto6.3
Teleop10.2
End2.5
red by 8.4
7617
#25
10.60.1
12.112.2
Auto4.5
Teleop5.3
End0.8
Third
8564
#21
9.80.1
9.08.9
Auto3.8
Teleop6.0
End0.1
red by 1.0
9491
#32
8.80.1
8.28.3
Auto3.6
Teleop4.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsEarned12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned17%Ensemble oddsMissed