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Red58
155513.7
498216.1
174125.3
Blue69
501030.5
518813.9
348718.7
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5465304050607080905869

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.30.5
23.724.2
Auto9.2
Teleop13.0
End3.1
blue by 5.2
30.50.9
27.828.7
Auto9.1
Teleop19.9
End1.6
Second
4982
#26
16.10.6
13.514.2
Auto8.9
Teleop4.7
End2.5
blue by 2.6
18.70.9
16.517.5
Auto5.6
Teleop11.8
End1.3
Third
1555
#12
13.70.5
12.913.4
Auto5.4
Teleop8.2
End0.1
blue by 0.2
5188
#22
13.90.9
13.114.0
Auto6.0
Teleop6.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsEarned55%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed