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Red55
35596.4
843013.3
102424.3
Blue51
492615.7
458011.9
810321.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4056020801005551

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.30.8
23.324.1
Auto9.4
Teleop12.6
End2.3
red by 2.3
8103
#10
21.90.1
21.822.0
Auto8.3
Teleop11.6
End2.0
Second
8430
#20
13.30.9
9.09.9
Auto5.1
Teleop7.8
End0.4
blue by 2.4
4926
#27
15.70.2
15.615.7
Auto8.4
Teleop6.5
End0.8
Third
3559
#33
6.40.9
5.56.4
Auto2.7
Teleop2.1
End1.6
blue by 5.4
11.90.2
11.511.7
Auto4.1
Teleop7.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsEarned48%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed