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Red92
745416.0
501030.5
29224.0
Blue59
94535.2
745726.0
174125.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74612040801009259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.51.6
28.730.3
Auto9.1
Teleop19.9
End1.6
red by 4.5
26.00.6
26.826.2
Auto15.3
Teleop7.9
End2.8
Second
292
#8
24.01.6
22.624.2
Auto10.6
Teleop13.7
End-0.3
blue by 1.3
25.30.5
24.223.7
Auto9.2
Teleop13.0
End3.1
Third
7454
#17
16.01.6
14.115.7
Auto6.8
Teleop7.4
End1.9
red by 10.8
9453
#34
5.20.6
5.85.2
Auto1.7
Teleop3.2
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
70%Melody oddsEarned57%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed30%Ensemble oddsEarned