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Red50
85649.8
71988.3
427235.1
Blue37
7112.3
35596.4
745416.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions513602060801005037

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.10.4
29.029.4
Auto14.5
Teleop20.1
End0.5
red by 19.1
7454
#17
16.00.3
13.113.4
Auto6.8
Teleop7.4
End1.9
Second
8564
#21
9.80.6
10.210.8
Auto3.8
Teleop6.0
End0.1
blue by 2.5
71
#19
12.30.2
12.212.4
Auto4.5
Teleop7.7
End0.0
Third
7198
#23
8.30.4
5.15.5
Auto4.2
Teleop2.5
End1.6
red by 1.9
3559
#33
6.40.3
8.89.2
Auto2.7
Teleop2.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsEarned16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed