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Red57
811610.2
492615.7
501030.5
Blue53
4522.3
101813.1
810321.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions456201001502002503003504005753

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.51.6
18.520.0
Auto9.1
Teleop19.9
End1.6
red by 8.2
45
#14
22.30.7
19.618.9
Auto8.7
Teleop11.2
End2.3
Second
4926
#27
15.71.6
14.516.0
Auto8.4
Teleop6.5
End0.8
blue by 6.2
8103
#10
21.90.7
20.820.0
Auto8.3
Teleop11.6
End2.0
Third
8116
#28
10.21.6
10.111.7
Auto3.3
Teleop5.8
End1.1
blue by 2.9
1018
#16
13.11.2
13.512.3
Auto4.3
Teleop6.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsEarned37%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed