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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions605102040801001207572

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.00.8
32.233.0
Auto14.4
Teleop11.3
End6.2
red by 6.8
25.20.9
23.224.1
Auto9.0
Teleop12.8
End3.4
Second
8116
#12
15.80.8
11.612.4
Auto4.5
Teleop8.9
End2.4
blue by 3.0
3452
#14
18.70.9
15.916.8
Auto4.7
Teleop13.2
End0.8
Third
12.90.8
9.510.3
Auto5.9
Teleop5.4
End1.6
red by 1.5
4485
#22
11.40.9
7.88.7
Auto3.1
Teleop6.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
49%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsEarned14%Ensemble oddsMissed