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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions645040801001205263

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#4
32.50.4
30.329.9
Auto14.4
Teleop14.4
End3.6
red by 10.2
5402
#11
22.20.7
19.720.5
Auto7.2
Teleop11.7
End3.4
Second
21.00.4
19.118.7
Auto8.2
Teleop9.9
End2.9
red by 2.9
2197
#15
18.10.7
17.218.0
Auto8.2
Teleop8.9
End1.0
Third
3559
#18
8.40.4
6.86.4
Auto4.7
Teleop2.6
End1.2
blue by 4.7
8564
#13
13.10.7
10.010.7
Auto3.9
Teleop7.8
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
57%Melody oddsEarned36%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed