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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3233010204050603241

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7657
#16
16.40.2
13.613.9
Auto7.8
Teleop7.4
End1.2
blue by 6.9
23.30.7
21.522.2
Auto12.5
Teleop8.4
End2.4
Second
1720
#19
13.60.2
12.112.3
Auto6.4
Teleop5.5
End1.7
red by 4.9
3947
#26
8.60.7
5.56.3
Auto2.5
Teleop4.8
End1.3
Third
9453
#25
5.50.2
3.13.3
Auto3.0
Teleop2.3
End0.1
red by 0.2
3890
#23
5.30.7
2.93.7
Auto1.5
Teleop3.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed