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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions244804060801003643

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8430
#20
13.00.7
13.514.2
Auto4.5
Teleop8.1
End0.5
blue by 12.1
25.20.2
23.423.2
Auto9.0
Teleop12.8
End3.4
Second
4485
#22
11.40.7
7.17.8
Auto3.1
Teleop6.9
End1.5
blue by 1.5
12.90.2
9.79.5
Auto5.9
Teleop5.4
End1.6
Third
9554
#21
7.70.7
4.35.1
Auto2.3
Teleop5.2
End0.2
red by 0.3
4008
#24
7.40.2
7.77.5
Auto3.5
Teleop2.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed