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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61462040801007747

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5402
#11
22.21.6
18.119.7
Auto7.2
Teleop11.7
End3.4
blue by 2.1
234
#5
24.40.1
21.921.8
Auto6.6
Teleop16.0
End1.8
Second
21.01.6
17.519.1
Auto8.2
Teleop9.9
End2.9
red by 5.2
8116
#12
15.80.1
11.711.6
Auto4.5
Teleop8.9
End2.4
Third
20.61.6
17.619.2
Auto10.7
Teleop8.9
End1.0
red by 7.5
8564
#13
13.10.1
10.110.0
Auto3.9
Teleop7.8
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsEarned44%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed