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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74726080901009156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#4
32.51.5
28.830.3
Auto14.4
Teleop14.4
End3.6
red by 0.5
32.00.6
32.832.2
Auto14.4
Teleop11.3
End6.2
Second
5484
#10
25.11.5
23.524.9
Auto7.3
Teleop16.6
End1.2
red by 6.3
3452
#14
18.70.6
16.515.9
Auto4.7
Teleop13.2
End0.8
Third
22.01.5
14.415.8
Auto9.6
Teleop10.8
End1.6
red by 4.8
6498
#17
17.10.6
15.915.3
Auto8.0
Teleop7.0
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
63%Melody oddsEarned68%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed36%Ensemble oddsMissed