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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51350204060801003933

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.30.7
22.121.5
Auto12.5
Teleop8.4
End2.4
red by 5.2
2197
#15
18.10.0
17.317.2
Auto8.2
Teleop8.9
End1.0
Second
8430
#20
13.00.7
14.113.5
Auto4.5
Teleop8.1
End0.5
blue by 0.5
1720
#19
13.60.0
12.112.1
Auto6.4
Teleop5.5
End1.7
Third
4485
#22
11.40.7
7.87.1
Auto3.1
Teleop6.9
End1.5
red by 3.7
9554
#21
7.70.0
4.44.3
Auto2.3
Teleop5.2
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed