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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5537020801005920

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
#5
24.40.4
21.521.9
Auto6.6
Teleop16.0
End1.8
red by 2.1
5402
#11
22.21.1
19.218.1
Auto7.2
Teleop11.7
End3.4
Second
21.00.4
17.117.5
Auto8.2
Teleop9.9
End2.9
red by 5.2
8116
#12
15.81.1
12.811.7
Auto4.5
Teleop8.9
End2.4
Third
12.90.4
9.39.7
Auto5.9
Teleop5.4
End1.6
red by 7.6
3890
#23
5.31.1
4.02.9
Auto1.5
Teleop3.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
54%Melody oddsEarned12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed