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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49480204060801001201401606850

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5484
#10
25.11.6
21.823.5
Auto7.3
Teleop16.6
End1.2
blue by 0.1
25.20.5
23.023.4
Auto9.0
Teleop12.8
End3.4
Second
20.61.6
16.017.6
Auto10.7
Teleop8.9
End1.0
blue by 1.4
22.00.5
13.914.4
Auto9.6
Teleop10.8
End1.6
Third
4008
#24
7.41.6
6.17.7
Auto3.5
Teleop2.0
End1.9
blue by 1.0
3559
#18
8.40.5
6.36.8
Auto4.7
Teleop2.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsEarned12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed