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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47460204060801001204421

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3452
#14
18.70.1
16.416.5
Auto4.7
Teleop13.2
End0.8
blue by 13.7
868
#4
32.51.4
30.128.8
Auto14.4
Teleop14.4
End3.6
Second
6498
#17
17.10.1
15.715.9
Auto8.0
Teleop7.0
End2.1
red by 8.5
3947
#26
8.61.4
6.95.5
Auto2.5
Teleop4.8
End1.3
Third
8564
#13
13.10.1
9.910.1
Auto3.9
Teleop7.8
End1.4
red by 7.6
9453
#25
5.51.4
4.53.1
Auto3.0
Teleop2.3
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
40%Melody oddsMissed41%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed