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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions348902060801001201403076

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.00.8
17.917.1
Auto8.2
Teleop9.9
End2.9
blue by 11.0
32.00.2
32.632.8
Auto14.4
Teleop11.3
End6.2
Second
7657
#16
16.40.8
14.513.6
Auto7.8
Teleop7.4
End1.2
blue by 6.9
23.30.2
22.022.1
Auto12.5
Teleop8.4
End2.4
Third
9554
#21
7.70.8
5.24.4
Auto2.3
Teleop5.2
End0.2
blue by 14.6
5402
#11
22.20.2
19.019.2
Auto7.2
Teleop11.7
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed62%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed56%Ensemble oddsMissed