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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions691604060801001201406917

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.20.7
22.223.0
Auto9.0
Teleop12.8
End3.4
red by 13.8
4485
#22
11.40.3
8.07.8
Auto3.1
Teleop6.9
End1.5
Second
234
#5
24.40.7
20.821.5
Auto6.6
Teleop16.0
End1.8
red by 16.0
3559
#18
8.40.3
6.66.3
Auto4.7
Teleop2.6
End1.2
Third
8430
#20
13.00.7
13.414.1
Auto4.5
Teleop8.1
End0.5
red by 5.7
4008
#24
7.40.3
6.46.1
Auto3.5
Teleop2.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
42%Melody oddsEarned4%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed