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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32470204060804656

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3452
#14
18.70.4
18.919.3
Auto4.7
Teleop13.2
End0.8
red by 1.6
6498
#17
17.11.0
13.414.4
Auto8.0
Teleop7.0
End2.1
Second
3947
#26
8.60.4
6.77.1
Auto2.5
Teleop4.8
End1.3
blue by 4.9
1720
#19
13.61.0
13.614.6
Auto6.4
Teleop5.5
End1.7
Third
3890
#23
5.30.4
5.05.4
Auto1.5
Teleop3.0
End0.8
blue by 7.6
12.91.0
13.514.5
Auto5.9
Teleop5.4
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed