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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5056203040607080905843

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.00.0
33.933.9
Auto14.4
Teleop11.3
End6.2
blue by 0.5
868
#4
32.50.5
28.327.7
Auto14.4
Teleop14.4
End3.6
Second
3947
#26
8.60.0
6.96.9
Auto2.5
Teleop4.8
End1.3
blue by 9.4
2197
#15
18.10.5
17.316.9
Auto8.2
Teleop8.9
End1.0
Third
9554
#21
7.70.0
5.25.2
Auto2.3
Teleop5.2
End0.2
red by 2.4
3890
#23
5.30.5
4.54.0
Auto1.5
Teleop3.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
54%Melody oddsMissed56%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed