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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5638020801004241

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5402
#11
22.20.4
19.519.0
Auto7.2
Teleop11.7
End3.4
red by 1.7
20.60.1
15.715.6
Auto10.7
Teleop8.9
End1.0
Second
22.00.4
13.913.5
Auto9.6
Teleop10.8
End1.6
red by 8.4
1720
#19
13.60.1
12.312.1
Auto6.4
Teleop5.5
End1.7
Third
7657
#16
16.40.4
14.914.5
Auto7.8
Teleop7.4
End1.2
red by 5.0
4485
#22
11.40.2
8.28.0
Auto3.1
Teleop6.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed