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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5936020801001208437

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.31.9
20.122.0
Auto12.5
Teleop8.4
End2.4
red by 6.2
6498
#17
17.10.1
15.615.7
Auto8.0
Teleop7.0
End2.1
Second
21.01.9
16.017.9
Auto8.2
Teleop9.9
End2.9
red by 8.0
8430
#20
13.00.1
13.313.4
Auto4.5
Teleop8.1
End0.5
Third
3452
#14
18.71.9
14.516.4
Auto4.7
Teleop13.2
End0.8
red by 11.4
4008
#24
7.40.1
6.36.4
Auto3.5
Teleop2.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
52%Melody oddsEarned12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed