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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413902060801004643

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.00.3
15.816.1
Auto9.6
Teleop10.8
End1.6
red by 4.8
6498
#17
17.10.2
15.315.1
Auto8.0
Teleop7.0
End2.1
Second
2197
#15
18.10.3
18.018.2
Auto8.2
Teleop8.9
End1.0
red by 1.7
7657
#16
16.40.2
13.913.7
Auto7.8
Teleop7.4
End1.2
Third
9453
#25
5.50.3
3.33.6
Auto3.0
Teleop2.3
End0.1
blue by 2.9
3559
#18
8.40.2
6.46.2
Auto4.7
Teleop2.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsEarned