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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37381020305060703831

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.60.3
19.219.5
Auto10.7
Teleop8.9
End1.0
red by 4.8
8116
#12
15.80.9
12.411.5
Auto4.5
Teleop8.9
End2.4
Second
8564
#13
13.10.3
10.711.0
Auto3.9
Teleop7.8
End1.4
Level
8430
#20
13.00.9
14.213.3
Auto4.5
Teleop8.1
End0.5
Third
3890
#23
5.30.3
3.74.0
Auto1.5
Teleop3.0
End0.8
blue by 2.0
4008
#24
7.40.9
7.56.7
Auto3.5
Teleop2.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsEarned