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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74684060801001206467

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.00.5
33.032.5
Auto14.4
Teleop11.3
End6.2
blue by 0.5
868
#4
32.50.0
29.929.8
Auto14.4
Teleop14.4
End3.6
Second
5484
#10
25.10.5
24.824.3
Auto7.3
Teleop16.6
End1.2
red by 2.8
5402
#11
22.20.0
20.520.4
Auto7.2
Teleop11.7
End3.4
Third
4485
#22
11.40.5
8.78.2
Auto3.1
Teleop6.9
End1.5
blue by 2.2
1720
#19
13.60.0
12.112.1
Auto6.4
Teleop5.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
43%Melody oddsMissed70%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
40%Ensemble oddsMissed42%Ensemble oddsMissed