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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5151354045556065704040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.2
Auto9.0
Teleop12.8
End3.4
red by 4.6
20.6
Auto10.7
Teleop8.9
End1.0
Second
2197
#15
18.1
Auto8.2
Teleop8.9
End1.0
red by 1.7
7657
#16
16.4
Auto7.8
Teleop7.4
End1.2
Third
9453
#25
5.5
Auto3.0
Teleop2.3
End0.1
blue by 7.5
8430
#20
13.0
Auto4.5
Teleop8.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed