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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32321520253035404550554629

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3452
#14
18.71.1
16.817.9
Auto4.7
Teleop13.2
End0.8
blue by 2.3
21.00.0
18.718.7
Auto8.2
Teleop9.9
End2.9
Second
3559
#18
8.41.1
6.27.4
Auto4.7
Teleop2.6
End1.2
red by 1.0
4008
#24
7.40.0
6.76.6
Auto3.5
Teleop2.0
End1.9
Third
9554
#21
7.71.1
5.86.9
Auto2.3
Teleop5.2
End0.2
red by 2.4
3890
#23
5.30.0
4.03.9
Auto1.5
Teleop3.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed