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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8341020601001201405762

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#4
32.50.8
29.829.0
Auto14.4
Teleop14.4
End3.6
red by 8.1
234
#5
24.41.0
22.423.4
Auto6.6
Teleop16.0
End1.8
Second
23.30.8
24.924.1
Auto12.5
Teleop8.4
End2.4
red by 7.5
8116
#12
15.81.0
11.512.5
Auto4.5
Teleop8.9
End2.4
Third
6498
#17
17.10.8
15.014.1
Auto8.0
Teleop7.0
End2.1
red by 5.7
4485
#22
11.41.0
8.29.2
Auto3.1
Teleop6.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
68%Melody oddsEarned37%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed