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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions733702060801001201407235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.00.6
32.533.0
Auto14.4
Teleop11.3
End6.2
red by 13.9
2197
#15
18.10.2
18.218.0
Auto8.2
Teleop8.9
End1.0
Second
22.00.6
18.118.6
Auto9.6
Teleop10.8
End1.6
red by 8.9
8430
#20
13.00.2
13.313.2
Auto4.5
Teleop8.1
End0.5
Third
8564
#13
13.10.6
11.011.6
Auto3.9
Teleop7.8
End1.4
red by 4.5
3947
#26
8.60.2
6.05.8
Auto2.5
Teleop4.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsEarned6%Ensemble oddsMissed