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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364702060801004149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5402
#11
22.20.3
20.420.8
Auto7.2
Teleop11.7
End3.4
red by 1.7
20.60.5
19.520.0
Auto10.7
Teleop8.9
End1.0
Second
9554
#21
7.70.3
6.97.3
Auto2.3
Teleop5.2
End0.2
blue by 11.1
3452
#14
18.70.5
17.918.4
Auto4.7
Teleop13.2
End0.8
Third
4008
#24
7.40.3
6.67.0
Auto3.5
Teleop2.0
End1.9
red by 1.9
9453
#25
5.50.5
3.64.1
Auto3.0
Teleop2.3
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed