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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions356702060801001204070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5484
#10
25.10.3
24.324.6
Auto7.3
Teleop16.6
End1.2
blue by 0.1
25.20.9
24.125.0
Auto9.0
Teleop12.8
End3.4
Second
3559
#18
8.40.3
7.47.7
Auto4.7
Teleop2.6
End1.2
blue by 12.6
21.00.9
18.719.6
Auto8.2
Teleop9.9
End2.9
Third
3890
#23
5.30.3
3.94.2
Auto1.5
Teleop3.0
End0.8
blue by 11.0
7657
#16
16.40.9
13.714.6
Auto7.8
Teleop7.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed45%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsEarned