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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6237020801001207153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#4
32.50.9
29.029.9
Auto14.4
Teleop14.4
End3.6
red by 10.5
22.01.1
18.619.7
Auto9.6
Teleop10.8
End1.6
Second
8564
#13
13.10.9
11.612.4
Auto3.9
Teleop7.8
End1.4
blue by 0.5
1720
#19
13.61.1
12.113.2
Auto6.4
Teleop5.5
End1.7
Third
12.90.9
12.313.1
Auto5.9
Teleop5.4
End1.6
red by 4.3
3947
#26
8.61.1
5.86.9
Auto2.5
Teleop4.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
65%Melody oddsEarned9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsEarned9%Ensemble oddsMissed