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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5822040801006431

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
234
#5
24.40.0
23.423.4
Auto6.6
Teleop16.0
End1.8
red by 8.6
8116
#12
15.80.5
12.513.0
Auto4.5
Teleop8.9
End2.4
Second
2197
#15
18.10.0
18.018.1
Auto8.2
Teleop8.9
End1.0
red by 10.4
9554
#21
7.70.5
7.37.7
Auto2.3
Teleop5.2
End0.2
Third
4008
#24
7.40.0
7.07.0
Auto3.5
Teleop2.0
End1.9
red by 1.9
9453
#25
5.50.5
4.14.6
Auto3.0
Teleop2.3
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
66%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed