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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2278040601001202971

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8430
#20
13.00.2
13.213.3
Auto4.5
Teleop8.1
End0.5
blue by 12.0
5484
#10
25.10.5
24.625.1
Auto7.3
Teleop16.6
End1.2
Second
4485
#22
11.40.2
9.29.4
Auto3.1
Teleop6.9
End1.5
blue by 10.8
5402
#11
22.20.5
20.821.2
Auto7.2
Teleop11.7
End3.4
Third
3890
#23
5.30.2
4.24.4
Auto1.5
Teleop3.0
End0.8
blue by 13.4
3452
#14
18.70.5
18.418.9
Auto4.7
Teleop13.2
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
3%Melody oddsMissed64%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed