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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions756320401001206574

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.00.1
33.032.9
Auto14.4
Teleop11.3
End6.2
red by 6.8
25.20.4
25.025.4
Auto9.0
Teleop12.8
End3.4
Second
21.00.1
19.619.5
Auto8.2
Teleop9.9
End2.9
red by 0.4
20.60.4
20.020.4
Auto10.7
Teleop8.9
End1.0
Third
6498
#17
17.10.1
14.114.0
Auto8.0
Teleop7.0
End2.1
red by 3.6
1720
#19
13.60.4
13.213.6
Auto6.4
Teleop5.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
51%Melody oddsEarned26%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
61%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsEarned