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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions565640455060657075805642

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#4
32.50.4
29.930.2
Auto14.4
Teleop14.4
End3.6
red by 9.2
23.30.6
24.123.5
Auto12.5
Teleop8.4
End2.4
Second
12.90.4
13.113.5
Auto5.9
Teleop5.4
End1.6
blue by 3.4
7657
#16
16.40.6
14.614.0
Auto7.8
Teleop7.4
End1.2
Third
3559
#18
8.40.4
7.78.0
Auto4.7
Teleop2.6
End1.2
blue by 4.7
8564
#13
13.10.6
12.411.8
Auto3.9
Teleop7.8
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
52%Melody oddsMissed43%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed