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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42542060801003357

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5402
#11
22.20.4
21.220.8
Auto7.2
Teleop11.7
End3.4
blue by 2.1
234
#5
24.40.6
23.424.1
Auto6.6
Teleop16.0
End1.8
Second
8430
#20
13.00.4
13.312.9
Auto4.5
Teleop8.1
End0.5
blue by 8.9
22.00.6
19.720.4
Auto9.6
Teleop10.8
End1.6
Third
9453
#25
5.50.4
4.64.2
Auto3.0
Teleop2.3
End0.1
red by 0.2
3890
#23
5.30.6
4.45.0
Auto1.5
Teleop3.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed27%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed