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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4871204060801004358

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3452
#14
18.70.2
19.319.1
Auto4.7
Teleop13.2
End0.8
blue by 13.3
32.00.2
32.932.7
Auto14.4
Teleop11.3
End6.2
Second
7657
#16
16.40.2
14.013.8
Auto7.8
Teleop7.4
End1.2
blue by 4.2
20.60.2
20.420.2
Auto10.7
Teleop8.9
End1.0
Third
8116
#12
15.80.2
13.012.8
Auto4.5
Teleop8.9
End2.4
red by 7.4
3559
#18
8.40.2
8.07.8
Auto4.7
Teleop2.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsEarned30%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed