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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80542040601001205859

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.20.8
24.824.0
Auto9.0
Teleop12.8
End3.4
red by 3.2
22.00.1
20.420.5
Auto9.6
Teleop10.8
End1.6
Second
234
#5
24.40.8
24.123.3
Auto6.6
Teleop16.0
End1.8
red by 5.7
3452
#14
18.70.1
19.119.2
Auto4.7
Teleop13.2
End0.8
Third
5402
#11
22.20.8
20.820.1
Auto7.2
Teleop11.7
End3.4
red by 9.2
8430
#20
13.00.1
12.913.0
Auto4.5
Teleop8.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
87%Melody oddsMissed34%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
29%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed