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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions308402040601001203373

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7657
#16
16.40.0
13.813.7
Auto7.8
Teleop7.4
End1.2
blue by 16.1
868
#4
32.50.1
30.230.1
Auto14.4
Teleop14.4
End3.6
Second
1720
#19
13.60.0
14.514.4
Auto6.4
Teleop5.5
End1.7
blue by 18.4
32.00.1
32.732.6
Auto14.4
Teleop11.3
End6.2
Third
3890
#23
5.30.0
5.45.3
Auto1.5
Teleop3.0
End0.8
blue by 2.0
4008
#24
7.40.1
6.96.8
Auto3.5
Teleop2.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed74%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed49%Ensemble oddsMissed