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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5349204060801007453

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.01.7
20.522.2
Auto9.6
Teleop10.8
End1.6
blue by 3.1
5484
#10
25.10.5
24.324.8
Auto7.3
Teleop16.6
End1.2
Second
6498
#17
17.11.7
14.516.3
Auto8.0
Teleop7.0
End2.1
red by 4.1
8430
#20
13.00.5
13.013.6
Auto4.5
Teleop8.1
End0.5
Third
8116
#12
15.81.7
12.814.5
Auto4.5
Teleop8.9
End2.4
red by 8.1
9554
#21
7.70.5
7.78.2
Auto2.3
Teleop5.2
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsEarned18%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsEarned5%Ensemble oddsMissed