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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58643040507080907161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
868
#4
32.50.9
30.131.0
Auto14.4
Teleop14.4
End3.6
red by 8.1
234
#5
24.40.4
23.322.9
Auto6.6
Teleop16.0
End1.8
Second
7657
#16
16.40.9
13.714.6
Auto7.8
Teleop7.4
End1.2
blue by 2.4
3452
#14
18.70.4
19.218.8
Auto4.7
Teleop13.2
End0.8
Third
4485
#22
11.40.9
9.310.1
Auto3.1
Teleop6.9
End1.5
blue by 2.2
1720
#19
13.60.4
14.414.0
Auto6.4
Teleop5.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
47%Melody oddsEarned73%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed