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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions402401030506070804322

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5402
#11
22.20.6
20.120.6
Auto7.2
Teleop11.7
End3.4
red by 9.2
8564
#13
13.10.1
12.412.3
Auto3.9
Teleop7.8
End1.4
Second
3947
#26
8.60.6
7.07.6
Auto2.5
Teleop4.8
End1.3
red by 1.3
4008
#24
7.40.1
6.86.7
Auto3.5
Teleop2.0
End1.9
Third
3559
#18
8.40.6
7.48.0
Auto4.7
Teleop2.6
End1.2
red by 2.9
9453
#25
5.50.1
4.34.2
Auto3.0
Teleop2.3
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed