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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63692040801001201405582

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.30.5
23.022.5
Auto12.5
Teleop8.4
End2.4
blue by 8.7
32.00.3
32.632.9
Auto14.4
Teleop11.3
End6.2
Second
20.60.5
20.119.6
Auto10.7
Teleop8.9
End1.0
blue by 4.6
25.20.3
24.024.3
Auto9.0
Teleop12.8
End3.4
Third
8116
#12
15.80.5
14.514.0
Auto4.5
Teleop8.9
End2.4
red by 10.5
3890
#23
5.30.3
5.35.7
Auto1.5
Teleop3.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
53%Melody oddsMissed37%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed32%Ensemble oddsEarned