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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51772040601001204765

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3452
#14
18.70.2
18.818.6
Auto4.7
Teleop13.2
End0.8
blue by 6.3
5484
#10
25.10.1
24.824.7
Auto7.3
Teleop16.6
End1.2
Second
2197
#15
18.10.2
16.916.8
Auto8.2
Teleop8.9
End1.0
blue by 3.9
22.00.1
22.222.1
Auto9.6
Teleop10.8
End1.6
Third
12.90.2
13.713.5
Auto5.9
Teleop5.4
End1.6
blue by 8.1
21.00.1
19.819.7
Auto8.2
Teleop9.9
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
42%Melody oddsMissed62%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed