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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26540204060801003768

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8564
#13
13.10.7
12.313.0
Auto3.9
Teleop7.8
End1.4
blue by 9.2
5402
#11
22.21.5
20.622.1
Auto7.2
Teleop11.7
End3.4
Second
3947
#26
8.60.7
7.68.3
Auto2.5
Teleop4.8
End1.3
blue by 7.7
7657
#16
16.41.5
14.616.1
Auto7.8
Teleop7.4
End1.2
Third
4008
#24
7.40.7
6.77.4
Auto3.5
Teleop2.0
End1.9
blue by 4.0
4485
#22
11.41.5
10.111.6
Auto3.1
Teleop6.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed